{"id":316622,"date":"2026-08-31T16:00:59","date_gmt":"2026-08-31T20:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/?p=316622"},"modified":"2026-08-31T16:01:01","modified_gmt":"2026-08-31T20:01:01","slug":"will-canadas-housing-market-finally-turn-a-new-leaf-this-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/2026-fall-canadian-housing-market-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Canada\u2019s Housing Market Finally Turn a New Leaf This Fall?"},"content":{"rendered":"

[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||3px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” width=”95%” max_width=”100%” custom_margin=”||-24px||false|false” custom_margin_tablet=”||-24px||false|false” custom_margin_phone=”||-34px||false|false” custom_margin_last_edited=”on|phone” custom_padding=”55px||||false|false” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][wahi_breadcrumb _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin_tablet=”” custom_margin_phone=”30px||-10px||false|false” custom_margin_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”][wahi_breadcrumb-link title=”Real Estate 101″ 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custom_padding=”16px||4px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _dynamic_attributes=”content” _module_preset=”default” header_font_size=”3.5rem” header_line_height=”4.5rem” header_font_size_tablet=”42px” header_font_size_phone=”1.5rem” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_line_height_tablet=”3.5rem” header_line_height_phone=”2.1rem” header_line_height_last_edited=”on|desktop” global_colors_info=”{}”]@ET-DC@eyJkeW5hbWljIjp0cnVlLCJjb250ZW50IjoicG9zdF90aXRsZSIsInNldHRpbmdzIjp7ImJlZm9yZSI6IjxoMT4iLCJhZnRlciI6IjwvaDE+In19@[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”1px||1px|||” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_social_media_follow _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||3px|1px||” custom_padding_tablet=”0px||3px|1px||” custom_padding_phone=”0px||0px|0px|false|false” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”twitter” url=”https:\/\/twitter.com\/wahi_inc” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]twitter[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”linkedin” url=”https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/wahi-inc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]linkedin[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”instagram” url=”https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/wahi.inc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]instagram[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”facebook” url=”https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/wahiinc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]facebook[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][\/et_pb_social_media_follow][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”15px||0px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.3em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|desktop” header_2_font_size_tablet=”36px” header_2_font_size_phone=”25px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

Wahi spoke to top economists to get their predictions for the Canadian housing market this fall. Here\u2019s what they\u2019re saying. <\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.3em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” custom_margin=”||11px|||” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”36px” header_2_font_size_phone=”25px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

By Josh Sherman<\/a>\u00a0<\/span>| 3 minute read<\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_post_title title=”off” author=”off” categories=”off” comments=”off” featured_image=”off” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”||26px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_post_title][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||3px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” width_tablet=”” width_phone=”100%” width_last_edited=”on|desktop” custom_padding=”0px||9px|||” global_colors_info=”{}” width__hover_enabled=”off|desktop”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Marketpulse_Sep2025.jpg” alt=”Image of Toronto in the fall.” title_text=”Marketpulse_Sep2025″ align=”center” force_fullwidth=”on” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”1px||29px|||” hover_enabled=”0″ border_radii=”on|32px|32px|32px|32px” border_radii_tablet=”on|32px|32px|32px|32px” border_radii_phone=”on|0px|0px|0px|0px” border_radii_last_edited=”on|desktop” global_colors_info=”{}” sticky_enabled=”0″][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”1.13rem” text_line_height=”1.75rem” custom_margin=”-18px||2px|||” custom_padding=”||7px||false|true” custom_padding_tablet=”||7px||false|true” custom_padding_phone=”|15px|7px|15px|false|true” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|phone” hover_enabled=”0″ text_font_size_tablet=”1.13rem” text_font_size_phone=”0.9rem” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” sticky_enabled=”0″]<\/p>\n

Since Canadian housing peaked several years ago the typically busier fall real estate market has been anything but. <\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ admin_label=”Section” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”32px||23px|0px||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||0px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.6em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”29px” header_2_font_size_phone=”19px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

Economists say the long-dormant Canadian housing market is showing some signs of improvement ahead of the fall homebuying season, but it won\u2019t be enough for a return to normal, busier conditions historically associated with this time of year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI think it\u2019s going to look very much similar [to last fall.]\u201d says Bryan Yu, chief economist of Central 1. \u201cWe\u2019re largely looking at a pretty flat fall,\u201d he tells Wahi.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Although Scotiabank has yet to finalize the numbers for its next housing outlook, the bank\u2019s director of forecasting agrees that this year\u2019s fall market should be on the quieter side yet again \u2014 not least of all because of the latest trade spat between Canada and the U.S.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWe would need demand to strengthen significantly before we see a significant and sustained rise in prices to start happening,\u201d says Patrick Perrier, director of forecasting at Scotiabank. \u201cThe uncertainty would, I suspect, be a headwind for potential buyers,\u201d he continues, referring to recently announced tariffs on Canadian imports to the U.S. and retaliatory measures from Ottawa. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>The national sales-to-new listings ratio remains around 50%, which is closer to a buyer\u2019s market than a seller\u2019s, he notes, and that doesn\u2019t include the pipeline of new housing.\u00a0<\/span>
<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ disabled_on=”off|off|off” admin_label=”Section” module_id=”eeee” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”#f0faf4″ custom_margin=”0px||0px||false|false” custom_padding=”0px||0px||false|false” da_popup_slug=”eeee” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” disabled=”on” global_module=”307775″ locked=”off” collapsed=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row column_structure=”1_2,1_2″ make_equal=”on” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”||0px||false|false” custom_padding=”||0px||false|false” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_divider color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frame-7488.png” alt=”Wahi Cashback – Listings” title_text=”Wahi Cashback – Listings” url=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/contact-us\/” disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_css_main_element=”margin: auto;” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text content_tablet=”<\/p>\n

Buying and Selling a Home?<\/h2>\n

” content_phone=”<\/p>\n

Buying and Selling a Home?<\/h2>\n

” content_last_edited=”on|phone” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” header_2_font=”Poppins||||||||” header_2_text_color=”#38505b” header_2_font_size=”28px” header_2_line_height=”40px” header_3_font_size=”1.53rem” max_width_tablet=”” max_width_phone=”85%” max_width_last_edited=”on|phone” module_alignment=”center” custom_margin=”||10px||false|false” custom_padding=”||||false|false” header_line_height_tablet=”” header_line_height_phone=”” header_line_height_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”1.53rem” header_2_font_size_phone=”1.4rem” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_line_height_tablet=”3.75rem” header_2_line_height_phone=”2.5rem” header_2_line_height_last_edited=”on|desktop” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

Buying and Selling a Home?<\/h2>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider divider_weight=”3px” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” width=”100px” module_alignment=”left” height=”11px” custom_margin=”||14px||false|false” module_alignment_tablet=”left” module_alignment_phone=”center” module_alignment_last_edited=”on|phone” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text content_tablet=”<\/p>\n

Your Wahi Select REALTOR\u00ae is with you every step of the way \u2014 combining expert advice, personal service and powerful data-driven insights to help you move with confidence.<\/p>\n

” content_phone=”<\/p>\n

Your Wahi Select REALTOR\u00ae is with you every step of the way \u2014 combining expert advice, personal service and powerful data-driven insights to help you move with confidence.<\/p>\n

” content_last_edited=”on|phone” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” text_text_color=”#000000″ text_font_size=”18px” text_line_height=”24px” custom_margin=”||0px||false|false” custom_padding=”||||false|false” custom_padding_tablet=”|90px|24px|0px|false|false” custom_padding_phone=”|10px|2px|10px|false|true” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|desktop” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”]Your Wahi Select REALTOR\u00ae is with you every step of the way \u2014 combining expert advice, personal service and powerful data-driven insights to help you move with confidence.<\/span>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/contact-us\/” button_text=”Connect with Realtor” button_alignment=”left” button_alignment_tablet=”left” button_alignment_phone=”center” button_alignment_last_edited=”on|desktop” _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”13px” button_letter_spacing=”1px” button_use_icon=”off” custom_margin=”30px||||false|false” custom_padding=”||||false|false” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_button][et_pb_divider color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”29px||0px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”||4px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.6em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”29px” header_2_font_size_phone=”19px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

Although condo construction in Toronto and Vancouver has ground to a halt, projects launched around the time of the pandemic are still being completed, adding to unsold inventory levels. Elsewhere, in Alberta, housing starts soared to a 70-year high in 2025, and those units will be hitting the market in the coming months and years. \u201cThere\u2019s a lot of supply coming in,\u201d says Perrier. \u201cHousing demand is not strong enough to fully absorb this new stream of units coming to the market,\u201d he adds.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span>Government incentives, such as Ontario\u2019s HST rebate on new homes, have boosted new home sales somewhat, says Central 1\u2019s Yu, but the supply overload \u2014 as well as softer rental-market conditions, which put less pressure on tenants to climb onto the property ladde<\/span>r <\/span>\u2014 should result in softer market conditions. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>\u201cThere are some signs that new listings are easing, but we also know that there\u2019s quite a bit of new-home inventory that is still sitting there,\u201d says Yu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/p>\n

If there is a positive sign heading into the fall, it may be that the pace of price depreciation in the Canadian housing market has been waning in recent months. That could signal the bottom of the peak-to-trough cycle. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>The RPS-Wahi House Price Index registered a 3% dip in July, in line with June and less than the 4% year-over-year decreases in late spring\/early summer. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>That may also encourage some homebuyers to get into the market. \u201cOverall, prices seemingly have started to stabilize a bit more, and that might provide a little bit more optimism on the part of some buyers,\u201d says Yu. <\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

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<\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”33px||33px||true|false” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_blurb title=”Josh Sherman” image=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screen-Shot-2022-11-02-at-7.46.57-PM.png” icon_placement=”left” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” header_font_size=”24px” header_line_height=”1.2em” body_text_color=”#686E6E” body_line_height=”0em” width=”550px” max_width_tablet=”” max_width_phone=”” max_width_last_edited=”on|phone” module_alignment=”left” custom_padding=”2px||13px|||” link_option_url=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/author\/josh-sherman\/” header_font_size_tablet=”24px” header_font_size_phone=”20px” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_line_height_tablet=”1.2em” header_line_height_phone=”1.4em” header_line_height_last_edited=”on|phone” custom_css_blurb_image=”width:64px;” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

Wahi Writer<\/p>\n

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