{"id":315236,"date":"2026-03-16T16:10:32","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T20:10:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/?p=315236"},"modified":"2026-03-16T17:23:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T21:23:37","slug":"this-is-how-global-conflict-is-shaping-canadian-interest-rate-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/march-2026-canadian-interest-rate-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"This Is How Global Conflict Is Shaping Canadian Interest Rate Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

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custom_padding=”16px||4px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _dynamic_attributes=”content” _module_preset=”default” header_font_size=”3.5rem” header_line_height=”4.5rem” header_font_size_tablet=”42px” header_font_size_phone=”1.5rem” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_line_height_tablet=”3.5rem” header_line_height_phone=”2.1rem” header_line_height_last_edited=”on|desktop” global_colors_info=”{}”]@ET-DC@eyJkeW5hbWljIjp0cnVlLCJjb250ZW50IjoicG9zdF90aXRsZSIsInNldHRpbmdzIjp7ImJlZm9yZSI6IjxoMT4iLCJhZnRlciI6IjwvaDE+In19@[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”1px||1px|||” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_social_media_follow _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||3px|1px||” custom_padding_tablet=”0px||3px|1px||” custom_padding_phone=”0px||0px|0px|false|false” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”twitter” url=”https:\/\/twitter.com\/wahi_inc” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]twitter[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”linkedin” url=”https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/wahi-inc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]linkedin[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”instagram” url=”https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/wahi.inc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]instagram[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”facebook” url=”https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/wahiinc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]facebook[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][\/et_pb_social_media_follow][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”15px||0px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” 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Wahi asked real estate<\/a> industry professionals \u2014 including economists, academics, and REALTORS\u00ae \u2014 about their predictions for the Bank of Canada\u2019s next rate announcement.<\/span><\/p>\n

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By Josh Sherman<\/a>\u00a0<\/span>| 3 minute read<\/p>\n

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Leading up to each scheduled BoC rate announcement, Wahi surveys upwards of a dozen real estate leaders to gauge market sentiment and find out where the industry thinks rates are headed.<\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” min_height=”791.1px” custom_padding=”32px||23px|0px||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||0px|||” hover_enabled=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” sticky_enabled=”0″][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.6em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” hover_enabled=”0″ text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”29px” header_2_font_size_phone=”19px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}” sticky_enabled=”0″]<\/p>\n

Global tumult from the U.S.-and-Israel-led war on Iran has yet to shake up Canadian interest rate predictions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

In another unanimous response<\/a>, all participants of Wahi\u2019s latest Rate Outlook Panel suggest that the Bank of Canada will hold its influential overnight rate once again at 2.25% at its next scheduled announcement this Wednesday. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>\u201cThe economic and political dynamics seem to be becoming more complex rather than less so,\u201d says Pauline Lierman, vice president of market research at Zonda Urban. While the war in Iran has the potential to add upwards pressure to inflation, there\u2019s no need for the central bank to respond immediately, she suggests: \u201cWe cannot see the Bank of Canada hedging in either direction at this point.\u201d<\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>In the days leading up to each rate announcement, Wahi surveys upwards of a dozen real estate industry professionals, including economists at some of Canada\u2019s biggest banks as well as academics and analysts. Respondents to Wahi\u2019s Rate Outlook Panel are asked whether they anticipate a rate cut \u2014 and, if so, by how much \u2014 as well as the reasoning behind their decision.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cOn balance, we expect higher oil prices to have a net-neutral effect on Canadian and U.S. GDP growth, though with significant regional variations,\u201d says RBC Assistant Chief Economist Robert Hogue in his response to the survey. \u201cWe do not expect central banks to rush to respond to what is fundamentally a supply shock, and see both the Bank of Canada and U.S. Federal Reserve remaining on hold through 2026.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

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