{"id":311334,"date":"2025-07-28T19:53:40","date_gmt":"2025-07-28T19:53:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/?p=311334"},"modified":"2025-08-29T10:26:44","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T14:26:44","slug":"every-market-watcher-we-spoke-to-agrees-this-is-the-bocs-next-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/july-2025-canadian-interest-rate-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Every Market-Watcher We Spoke to Agrees This Is the BoC\u2019s Next Move"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||3px|||&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; 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url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/wahiinc\/&#8221; icon_color=&#8221;#BC4E40&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; background_enable_color=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; follow_button=&#8221;off&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221;]facebook[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][\/et_pb_social_media_follow][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;15px||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;1.3em&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;25px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wahi asked <a class=\"wpil_keyword_link\" href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/real-estate\/on\"   title=\"real estate\" data-wpil-keyword-link=\"linked\"  data-wpil-monitor-id=\"2126\">real estate<\/a> industry professionals \u2014 including economists, academics, and REALTORS\u00ae \u2014 about their predictions for the Bank of Canada\u2019s next rate announcement.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;1.3em&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||11px|||&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;25px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>By <a href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/author\/josh-shermanwahi-com\">Josh Sherman<\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span>| 3 minute read<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_post_title title=&#8221;off&#8221; 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width_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||9px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; width__hover_enabled=&#8221;off|desktop&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bank-of-canada-july-2025.jpg&#8221; alt=&#8221;the Bank of Canada&#8221; title_text=&#8221;bank-of-canada-july-2025&#8243; align=&#8221;center&#8221; force_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;1px||29px|||&#8221; border_radii=&#8221;on|32px|32px|32px|32px&#8221; border_radii_tablet=&#8221;on|32px|32px|32px|32px&#8221; border_radii_phone=&#8221;on|0px|0px|0px|0px&#8221; border_radii_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;1.13rem&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.75rem&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;-18px||2px|||&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||7px||false|true&#8221; custom_padding_tablet=&#8221;||7px||false|true&#8221; custom_padding_phone=&#8221;|15px|7px|15px|false|true&#8221; custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;1.13rem&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;0.9rem&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Leading up to each scheduled BoC rate announcement, Wahi surveys upwards of a dozen real estate leaders to gauge market sentiment and find out where the industry thinks rates are headed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; min_height=&#8221;791.1px&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;32px||23px|||&#8221; 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header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; min_height=&#8221;765.1px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||-48px|||&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;6px||68px|||&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;25px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Participants of an informal Wahi survey of real estate market-watchers unanimously predict that the Bank of Canada will maintain its overnight rate at 2.75% this week. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All 12 respondents to Wahi\u2019s latest Rate Outlook Panel say the central bank will continue to stand on the sidelines at its next scheduled rate announcement on July 30, just as it did in June and April.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the days leading up to each rate announcement, Wahi surveys upwards of a dozen real estate industry professionals, including economists at some of Canada\u2019s biggest banks as well as academics and analysts. Respondents to Wahi\u2019s Rate Outlook Panel are asked whether they anticipate a rate cut \u2014 and, if so, by how much \u2014 as well as the reasoning behind their decision.<\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The latest panel results are even more decisive than they were in June, when <a href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/june-2025-canadian-interest-rate-forecast\">three-quarters of respondents correctly predicted<\/a> a hold from the BoC. It is also the first time that a unanimous prediction has been reached since Wahi launched the Rate Outlook Panel this March.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Once again, Canada\u2019s unpredictable trade relations with the U.S. came up repeatedly in panel responses. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWe\u2019ve been witness to uncertainty and unpredictability \u2014 not solely in commercial real estate but in the overall economic landscape,\u201d says Mark Fieder, Avison Young\u2019s principal and president, Canada. \u201cI expect the Bank will continue to pause and assess volatility, particularly when we saw a positive job report come in recently,\u201d he continues.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A surprise \u2014 albeit modest \u2014 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.com\/en\/thought-leadership\/economics\/featured-insights\/canada-labour-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">decline in Canada\u2019s unemployment rate<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in June is among the indicators that Samson Solomon, mortgage content expert at <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nesto.ca\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">nesto<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, finds supportive of the ongoing rate pause. \u201cI think the Bank [of Canada], being highly data-driven, is likely to stay on the sidelines for now and wait to see whether inflation expectations or economic conditions shift more clearly in the months ahead,\u201d says Solomon.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>Wayne Kainu, head of mortgages at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.neofinancial.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Neo Financial<\/a>, agrees: \u201cInflation\u2019s in check, the job market\u2019s holding up, and with all the continuous U.S. tariff drama, they\u2019ll probably let the dust settle (waiting for more data), before making their next move,\u201d he notes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So does Alex Leduc, founder and CEO of Perch Mortgages: \u201cWhile GDP growth and the threat of a recession from the tariff war continue, inflation is trending upward and unemployment is stable, so the wait and see strategy from the Bank of Canada should continue.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<script type=\"application\/ld+json\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@type\": \"Article\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"mainEntityOfPage\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"@type\": \"WebPage\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"@id\": \"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/july-2025-canadian-interest-rate-forecast\/\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"headline\": \"Every Market-Watcher We Spoke to Agrees This Is the BoC\u2019s Next Move\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"description\": \"Wahi asked real estate industry professionals \u2014 including economists, academics, and REALTORS\u00ae \u2014 about their predictions for the Bank of Canada\u2019s next rate announcement.\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"image\": \"https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bank-of-canada-july-2025.jpg\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"author\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"@type\": \"Person\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"name\": \"Josh Sherman\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"url\": \"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/author\/josh-shermanwahi-com\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"publisher\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"@type\": \"Organization\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"name\": \"Wahi\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    \"logo\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"url\": \"https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/wahi-logo.svg\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"datePublished\": \"2025-07-28\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"dateModified\": \"2025-07-28\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->[\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; 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locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Section&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#f0faf4&#8243; custom_margin=&#8221;0px||0px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||0px||false|false&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; global_module=&#8221;307775&#8243; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; collapsed=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;1_2,1_2&#8243; make_equal=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px||false|false&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frame-7488.png&#8221; alt=&#8221;Wahi Cashback &#8211; Listings&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Wahi Cashback &#8211; Listings&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/buy\/wahi-price&#8221; disabled_on=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_css_main_element=&#8221;margin: auto;&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text content_tablet=&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 class=%22BaseTitle_root__3EEux BaseTitle_alignment-center__GotPP BaseTitle_type-h2__10WT0 color-communoDarkBlue BaseTitle_custom-font__1wBgd BaseTitle_font-family--poppins__1RWOP%22 style=%22text-align: left;%22>The Smarter Way to Buy &#038; Sell<\/h2>\n<p>&#8221; content_phone=&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 style=%22text-align: center;%22>The Smarter Way to Buy &#038; Sell<\/h2>\n<p>&#8221; content_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;Poppins||||||||&#8221; header_2_text_color=&#8221;#38505b&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;28px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;40px&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.53rem&#8221; max_width_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; max_width_phone=&#8221;85%&#8221; max_width_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; module_alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||10px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||||false|false&#8221; header_line_height_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; header_line_height_phone=&#8221;&#8221; header_line_height_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;1.53rem&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;1.4rem&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_line_height_tablet=&#8221;3.75rem&#8221; header_2_line_height_phone=&#8221;2.5rem&#8221; header_2_line_height_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"BaseTitle_root__3EEux BaseTitle_alignment-center__GotPP BaseTitle_type-h2__10WT0 color-communoDarkBlue BaseTitle_custom-font__1wBgd BaseTitle_font-family--poppins__1RWOP\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The Smarter Way to Buy &amp; Sell<\/h2>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider divider_weight=&#8221;3px&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; width=&#8221;100px&#8221; module_alignment=&#8221;left&#8221; height=&#8221;11px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||14px||false|false&#8221; module_alignment_tablet=&#8221;left&#8221; module_alignment_phone=&#8221;center&#8221; module_alignment_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text content_tablet=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback &#8211; an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_phone=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=%22text-align: center;%22>A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback &#8211; an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_text_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; text_font_size=&#8221;18px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;24px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||||false|false&#8221; custom_padding_tablet=&#8221;|90px|24px|0px|false|false&#8221; custom_padding_phone=&#8221;|10px|2px|10px|false|true&#8221; custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #2f2f2f;\">A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback &#8211; an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_button button_url=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/buy-sell-with-wahi&#8221; button_text=&#8221;LEARN MORE&#8221; button_alignment=&#8221;left&#8221; button_alignment_tablet=&#8221;left&#8221; button_alignment_phone=&#8221;center&#8221; button_alignment_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_button=&#8221;on&#8221; button_text_size=&#8221;13px&#8221; button_letter_spacing=&#8221;1px&#8221; button_use_icon=&#8221;off&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;30px||||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||||false|false&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_button][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;29px||0px|||&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;29px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;19px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As Canadian unemployment inched lower \u2014 sinking to 6.9% in June from 7% in May \u2014 businesses remain optimistic looking ahead, notes Penelope Graham, mortgage expert and director of content at <a href=\"http:\/\/ratehub.ca\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ratehub.ca<\/a>. \u201cThe latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofcanada.ca\/publications\/bos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Business [Outlook Survey]<\/a> conducted by the Bank finds that while businesses are still deeply concerned about the impact of tariffs, their outlook on investment and hiring has improved,\u201d says Graham. <\/span>\u201cThe Bank of Canada has little rationale to cut right now as there are several signs that show the economy isn&#8217;t in need of immediate stimulus,\u201d she explains, noting that by holding off now the BoC leaves room to cut later if needed.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Generally, the central bank trims rates to boost a sluggish economy. Doing so encourages spending and investment and typically results in higher inflation. However, as more than one panelist notes, inflation currently sits slightly below 3%, which is just within the 1-3% range the BoC targets (<a href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/overnight-interest-rate-explainer\/\">read Wahi\u2019s overnight rate explainer<\/a> to learn more).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOverall, sticky inflation readings, a weakening but relatively resilient economic backdrop and prospects for larger fiscal spending are reasons why we do not expect the BoC will cut again in this cycle,\u201d says RBC Assistant Chief Economist Robert Hogue.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTrade tensions remain heightened and economic data is still soft. However, the Canadian labour market showed signs of bottoming out in June, and sentiment indicators, which took a nosedive in March, have also partially recovered.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Since &#8220;the trade picture looks poor,&#8221; Moshe Lander, senior economics lecturer at Concordia University, says an argument could be made for a cut. However, he, like Hogue, suggests that all else considered, holding is the safest bet. &#8220;Given all the other macro data, it is best to hold the rate where it is until a clearer picture emerges.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 300;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 300;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong><b>Another Rate Cut May Be on the Horizon \u00a0<\/b><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While respondents very much doubt the BoC takes immediate action, some suggest it\u2019s just a matter of time before monetary policymakers embark on another cut. \u201cBetween now and their next decision in September, the Bank will have a fuller picture of tariff repercussions, cost pressures, and other economic indicators. Come that time, I will be surprised if we don\u2019t see a rate cut,\u201d says Fieder of Avison Young. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWeak GDP performance\u2026 and downside-risk-leaning uncertainty over the trade situation continue to give support to our view that the Bank will likely cut rates by about 50 points between now and early next year,\u201d adds Peter Norman, vice president and economic strategist at Altus Group.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That would be welcome news for many Canadian homebuyers. \u201cFrom our perspective within the housing industry, mortgage rates have once again risen so a cut even minor would be ideal,\u201d adds Pauline Lierman, vice president of market research at Zonda Urban. \u201cNot what we expect, however.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->[\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_code _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<script type=\"application\/ld+json\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@type\": \"FAQPage\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"mainEntity\": [<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"What is expected at the Bank of Canada\u2019s next rate announcement on July 30?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Wahi\u2019s Rate Outlook Panel reports a unanimous call from 12 market-watchers that the Bank of Canada will hold the overnight rate at 2.75% on July 30.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"Which experts support a hold and what reasons do they give?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Mark Fieder (Avison Young) cites volatility and a recent positive jobs report. Samson Solomon (nesto) says the Bank will wait for clearer shifts in inflation or economic data. Wayne Kainu (Neo Financial) notes contained inflation, a steady job market, and ongoing U.S. tariff issues. Alex Leduc (Perch Mortgages) flags weak GDP and recession risk but stable unemployment, supporting a wait-and-see stance. Penelope Graham (Ratehub.ca) points to improved business sentiment in the Bank\u2019s Business Outlook Survey.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"What data points are panelists watching most closely?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Inflation slightly below 3% (within the 1\u20133% target band), a dip in unemployment to 6.9% in June from 7.0% in May, and the effects of U.S. tariffs on growth and business confidence.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"Do all experts agree on the path for cuts after July?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"No. Robert Hogue (RBC) does not expect further cuts this cycle given sticky inflation and a resilient backdrop. Others see room for easing: Mark Fieder (Avison Young) would not be surprised by a cut by September, and Peter Norman (Altus Group) anticipates about 50 bps of cuts by early next year. Moshe Lander (Concordia University) says a cut could be argued based on trade weakness but prefers a hold until the outlook is clearer.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"What would a cut mean for homebuyers and mortgages?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Lower policy rates would help reduce borrowing costs. Pauline Lierman (Zonda Urban) notes mortgage rates have risen again, so a modest cut would be helpful for buyers, though panelists do not expect an immediate move.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  ]<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->[\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;33px||33px||true|false&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_blurb title=&#8221;Josh Sherman&#8221; image=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screen-Shot-2022-11-02-at-7.46.57-PM.png&#8221; icon_placement=&#8221;left&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; 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global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; width=&#8221;85%&#8221; width_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; width_phone=&#8221;95%&#8221; width_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;|auto|3px|auto||&#8221; custom_margin_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; custom_margin_phone=&#8221;&#8221; custom_margin_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;82px||43px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; custom_padding_phone=&#8221;60px||0px||false|false&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; 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header_2_line_height_tablet=&#8221;3.75rem&#8221; header_2_line_height_phone=&#8221;3rem&#8221; header_2_line_height_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; module_alignment_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; module_alignment_phone=&#8221;center&#8221; module_alignment_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; width__hover_enabled=&#8221;off|desktop&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #2f2f2f;\">Become a Real<br \/>Estate Know-It-All<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px|||||&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; admin_label=&#8221;Code&#8221; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    window.addEventListener(\"load\", (event) => {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        var form = document.querySelector(\".posts-form .et_pb_contact_form\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \/\/ Check if the form exists<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        if (form) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            \/\/ Add event listener only if the form exists<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            form.addEventListener(\"submit\", handleFormSubmitPosts);<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    });<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    function handleFormSubmitPosts(e) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        e.preventDefault();<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        e.stopPropagation();<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        var emailAddress = e.target[\"et_pb_contact_emailposts_0\"].value;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      console.log(emailAddress);<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        if (emailAddress) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            createEmailPlayerPosts(emailAddress);<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        if (externalUserId == \"null\") {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            analytics.identify({<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                email: emailAddress,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                marketingConsentNewsletter: true,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                account: false<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            });<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            analytics.track('Newsletter Subscribed', { component: 'Learning Centre Bottom' });<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        } else {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            analytics.identify(externalUserId, {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                marketingConsentNewsletter: true,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                account: true<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            });<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            analytics.track('Newsletter Subscribed', { component: 'Learning Centre Bottom' });<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    function createEmailPlayerPosts(emailAddress) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        var emailOptions = {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            method: \"POST\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            headers: {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                Accept: \"application\/json\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                \"Content-Type\": \"application\/json\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            body: JSON.stringify({<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                app_id: ONESIGNAL_APP_ID,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                device_type: 11,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                identifier: emailAddress,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                external_user_id: externalUserId,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                \"tags\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                    \"marketingConsentNewsletter\": true,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->                },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            }),<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        };<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        fetch(ONESIGNAL_PLAYER_API_URL, emailOptions)<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            .then((response) => response.json())<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            .then((response) => console.log(response))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->            .catch((err) => console.error(err));<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; 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I can unsubscribe at any time.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wahi asked real estate industry professionals \u2014 including economists, academics, and REALTORS\u00ae \u2014 about their predictions for the Bank of Canada\u2019s next rate announcement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":311335,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"2880","footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"dipi_cpt_category":[],"class_list":["post-311334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-buy-and-sell"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=311334"}],"version-history":[{"count":27,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311334\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":311859,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311334\/revisions\/311859"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/311335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=311334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=311334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=311334"},{"taxonomy":"dipi_cpt_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/dipi_cpt_category?post=311334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}