{"id":308814,"date":"2025-04-14T20:42:29","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T20:42:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/?p=308814"},"modified":"2025-08-29T10:54:39","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T14:54:39","slug":"why-market-watchers-are-split-on-interest-rate-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/april-2025-canadian-interest-rate-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Market-Watchers Are Split on Interest Rate Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||3px|||&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; 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url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221;]twitter[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=&#8221;linkedin&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/wahi-inc\/&#8221; icon_color=&#8221;#BC4E40&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; background_enable_color=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; follow_button=&#8221;off&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221;]linkedin[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=&#8221;instagram&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/wahi.inc\/&#8221; icon_color=&#8221;#BC4E40&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; background_enable_color=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; follow_button=&#8221;off&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221;]instagram[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=&#8221;facebook&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/wahiinc\/&#8221; icon_color=&#8221;#BC4E40&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; background_enable_color=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; follow_button=&#8221;off&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221;]facebook[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][\/et_pb_social_media_follow][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;15px||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;1.3em&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;25px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wahi asked <a class=\"wpil_keyword_link\" href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/real-estate\/on\"   title=\"real estate\" data-wpil-keyword-link=\"linked\"  data-wpil-monitor-id=\"2927\">real estate<\/a> industry professionals \u2014 including economists, academics, and REALTORS\u00ae \u2014 about their predictions for the Bank of Canada\u2019s next rate announcement.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;1.3em&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||11px|||&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;25px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>By <a href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/author\/josh-shermanwahi-com\">Josh Sherman<\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span>| 3 minute read<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_post_title title=&#8221;off&#8221; author=&#8221;off&#8221; date_format=&#8221;M j&#8221; categories=&#8221;off&#8221; comments=&#8221;off&#8221; featured_image=&#8221;off&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||26px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_post_title][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||3px|||&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; width_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; width_phone=&#8221;100%&#8221; width_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||9px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; width__hover_enabled=&#8221;off|desktop&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Why-Market-Watchers-Are-Split-on-Interest-Rate-Predictions-.jpg&#8221; alt=&#8221;The number of homes on the market continues to climb in major Canadian cities giving some buyers a shot at a discount.&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Why-Market-Watchers-Are-Split-on-Interest-Rate-Predictions-&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; force_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;1px||29px|||&#8221; border_radii=&#8221;on|32px|32px|32px|32px&#8221; border_radii_tablet=&#8221;on|32px|32px|32px|32px&#8221; border_radii_phone=&#8221;on|0px|0px|0px|0px&#8221; border_radii_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;1.13rem&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.75rem&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;-18px||2px|||&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||7px||false|true&#8221; custom_padding_tablet=&#8221;||7px||false|true&#8221; custom_padding_phone=&#8221;|15px|7px|15px|false|true&#8221; custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;1.13rem&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;0.9rem&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The overnight rate is the Bank of Canada\u2019s main tool for controlling inflation \u2014 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/overnight-interest-rate-explainer\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">read our explainer<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to find out how. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; min_height=&#8221;791.1px&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;32px||23px|||&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;1.3em&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; min_height=&#8221;765.1px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||-48px|||&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;6px||68px|||&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;25px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market-watchers are split on whether the Bank of Canada will embark on another rate cut on April 16.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So suggests an informal Wahi survey of a dozen real estate industry professionals, including economists at some of Canada\u2019s biggest banks as well as academics and analysts. Respondents to Wahi\u2019s latest Rate Outlook Panel were asked whether they anticipate a rate cut \u2014 and, if so, by how much \u2014 as well as the reasoning behind their decision.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"What Do You Think the Bank of Canada Will Do Next?\" aria-label=\"Donut Chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-ZjlIZ\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ZjlIZ\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"750\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>Overall, half (six out of 12) of respondents predict the central bank will hold the key policy rate at 2.75% on Wednesday, with the remaining six anticipating a cut of 25 basis points. These results present a murkier outlook than <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/march-2025-canadian-interest-rate-forecast\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wahi\u2019s inaugural Rate Outlook Panel<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from March, when just under two-thirds of respondents accurately predicted a rate cut. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This time around, whether market-watchers anticipated a hold or a reduction, the unpredictable nature of trade relations between Canada and the U.S. loomed large in their responses.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CIBC Deputy Chief Economist Benjamin Tal was in the latter camp, calling for a cut \u201cbecause of the slowdown of the economy due to tariffs\u2026 and the uncertainty regarding tariffs.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daniel Foch, chief real estate officer at Valery.ca, put it more bluntly. \u201c[The] economy is really messed up\u2026 Canadians are still highly indebted and we need the cost of capital to come down for the economy to be able to weather this economic storm of the trade war,\u201d he tells Wahi. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amid rising risks of stagflation \u2014 that is, a mixture of high inflation, economic stagnation, and higher unemployment \u2014 Penelope Graham, mortgage expert and director of content at Ratehub.ca, suggests the BoC will throw Canadians another life line in the form of a cut. \u201cI think the BoC will pass on a cut next week to give Canadians some relief amid the market turmoil, and give them more financial ammunition to weather what\u2019s to come,\u201d says Graham.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Already, the economy is showing signs of weakness. In March, Canada lost 33,000 jobs, the first monthly decline since January 2022, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www150.statcan.gc.ca\/n1\/daily-quotidien\/250404\/dq250404a-eng.htm?indid=3587-1&amp;indgeo=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">according to Statistics Canada<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u201cWeak job numbers alone support [a cut],\u201d writes Peter Norman, chief economist at the Altus Group, in his panel response. \u201cIt\u2019s a cautionary cut as I\u2019m sure the Bank will be conscious of the impacts on the [Canadian dollar], but on balance expect the cut,\u201d he adds.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Echoing Norman\u2019s remarks in anticipation of a cut, Wayne Kainu, head of mortgages at Neo Financial, also points to the latest labour-market data: \u201cWhile the Canadian economy has shown resilience, March\u2019s jobs report painted a different picture.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong><b><br \/>The Case Against Cuts<br \/><\/b><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Among respondents poised for the BoC to stay on the sidelines, more than one noted that the Trump administration appears to be walking back some of its toughest tariff talk. <\/span>\u201cTrump seems to be de-escalating on tariffs with Canada and they likely want to see if this goes away before taking further action,\u201d says Alex Leduc, founder and CEO of Perch Mortgages. \u201cIf tariffs do persist, it&#8217;s unclear that higher inflation expected from tariffs would overshadow a negative economic outlook.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;32px||23px|||&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;1px||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider show_divider=&#8221;off&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; height=&#8221;30px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||-6px|||&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Section&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#f0faf4&#8243; custom_margin=&#8221;0px||0px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||0px||false|false&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; global_module=&#8221;307775&#8243; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; collapsed=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;1_2,1_2&#8243; make_equal=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px||false|false&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frame-7488.png&#8221; alt=&#8221;Wahi Cashback &#8211; Listings&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Wahi Cashback &#8211; Listings&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/buy\/wahi-price&#8221; disabled_on=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_css_main_element=&#8221;margin: auto;&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text content_tablet=&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 class=%22BaseTitle_root__3EEux BaseTitle_alignment-center__GotPP BaseTitle_type-h2__10WT0 color-communoDarkBlue BaseTitle_custom-font__1wBgd BaseTitle_font-family--poppins__1RWOP%22 style=%22text-align: left;%22>The Smarter Way to Buy &#038; Sell<\/h2>\n<p>&#8221; content_phone=&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2 style=%22text-align: center;%22>The Smarter Way to Buy &#038; Sell<\/h2>\n<p>&#8221; content_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;Poppins||||||||&#8221; header_2_text_color=&#8221;#38505b&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;28px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;40px&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.53rem&#8221; max_width_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; max_width_phone=&#8221;85%&#8221; max_width_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; module_alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||10px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||||false|false&#8221; header_line_height_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; header_line_height_phone=&#8221;&#8221; header_line_height_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;1.53rem&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;1.4rem&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_line_height_tablet=&#8221;3.75rem&#8221; header_2_line_height_phone=&#8221;2.5rem&#8221; header_2_line_height_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"BaseTitle_root__3EEux BaseTitle_alignment-center__GotPP BaseTitle_type-h2__10WT0 color-communoDarkBlue BaseTitle_custom-font__1wBgd BaseTitle_font-family--poppins__1RWOP\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The Smarter Way to Buy &amp; Sell<\/h2>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider divider_weight=&#8221;3px&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; width=&#8221;100px&#8221; module_alignment=&#8221;left&#8221; height=&#8221;11px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||14px||false|false&#8221; module_alignment_tablet=&#8221;left&#8221; module_alignment_phone=&#8221;center&#8221; module_alignment_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text content_tablet=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback &#8211; an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_phone=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=%22text-align: center;%22>A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback &#8211; an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_text_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; text_font_size=&#8221;18px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;24px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||||false|false&#8221; custom_padding_tablet=&#8221;|90px|24px|0px|false|false&#8221; custom_padding_phone=&#8221;|10px|2px|10px|false|true&#8221; custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #2f2f2f;\">A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback &#8211; an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_button button_url=&#8221;https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/buy-sell-with-wahi&#8221; button_text=&#8221;LEARN MORE&#8221; button_alignment=&#8221;left&#8221; button_alignment_tablet=&#8221;left&#8221; button_alignment_phone=&#8221;center&#8221; button_alignment_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_button=&#8221;on&#8221; button_text_size=&#8221;13px&#8221; button_letter_spacing=&#8221;1px&#8221; button_use_icon=&#8221;off&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;30px||||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||||false|false&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_button][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;RGBA(255,255,255,0)&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;29px||0px|||&#8221; da_disable_devices=&#8221;off|off|off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; da_is_popup=&#8221;off&#8221; da_exit_intent=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_close=&#8221;on&#8221; da_alt_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_dark_close=&#8221;off&#8221; da_not_modal=&#8221;on&#8221; da_is_singular=&#8221;off&#8221; da_with_loader=&#8221;off&#8221; da_has_shadow=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.24.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_2_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; header_2_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_2_line_height=&#8221;1.6em&#8221; header_3_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_3_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; header_4_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_4_font_size=&#8221;1.25rem&#8221; header_4_line_height=&#8221;1.88rem&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;16px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_2_font_size_tablet=&#8221;29px&#8221; header_2_font_size_phone=&#8221;19px&#8221; header_2_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jocelyn Paquet, an economist at National Bank, agrees that somewhat softer trade talk from south of the border should help encourage a hold. \u201cThe slight de-escalation in the trade war, which has raised hopes of a continuation of the global economic expansion, makes this scenario more likely in our view,\u201d writes Paquet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>However, Paquet suggests continually weaker economic numbers will weigh on the central bank, spurring more cuts beginning as soon as June. \u201cThe central bank may not stay on the sidelines for long,\u201d Paquet adds.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Shawn Woof, sales representative and senior vice president at Sotheby&#8217;s International Realty Canada, is another respondent who says the BoC will want to see more data before acting. \u201cRather than moving forward with immediate rate cuts, the Bank may adopt a \u2018wait-and-see\u2019 stance to better assess the impact of these factors before taking further action.\u201d<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<!-- Why Market-Watchers Are Split on Interest Rate Predictions (April 2025 forecast) --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><script type=\"application\/ld+json\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@type\": \"Article\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\"@type\": \"WebPage\",\"@id\": \"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/april-2025-canadian-interest-rate-forecast\/\"},<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"headline\": \"Why Market-Watchers Are Split on Interest Rate Predictions\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"description\": \"Wahi\u2019s Rate Outlook Panel was divided ahead of the April 16 announcement, with calls split between a hold and a small cut.\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"author\": {\"@type\": \"Person\",\"name\": \"Josh Sherman\",\"url\": \"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/author\/josh-shermanwahi-com\"},<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"publisher\": {\"@type\": \"Organization\",\"name\": \"Wahi\",\"logo\": {\"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\"url\": \"https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/wahi-logo.svg\"}},<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"datePublished\": \"2025-04-14\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"dateModified\": \"2025-04-14\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_code _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<script type=\"application\/ld+json\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"@type\": \"FAQPage\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  \"mainEntity\": [<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"What is the split among market-watchers for April 16?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Wahi\u2019s Rate Outlook Panel found a 6\u20136 split: six expect the Bank of Canada to hold at 2.75%, and six expect a 25-basis-point cut.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"Why do some experts expect a rate cut now?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Benjamin Tal (CIBC) cites economic slowdown tied to tariffs and uncertainty. Daniel Foch (Valery.ca) points to high household debt and the need to lower borrowing costs. Penelope Graham (Ratehub.ca) expects a cut to give relief amid rising stagflation risks. Peter Norman (Altus Group) notes weak March jobs as support for a cautionary cut.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"Which data points support a cut?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Statistics Canada reported a loss of 33,000 jobs in March, the first monthly decline since January 2022. Wayne Kainu (Neo Financial) highlights the softer labour report as a key factor.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"Why do others expect the Bank to hold?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Alex Leduc (Perch Mortgages) notes signs of tariff de-escalation and uncertainty about the inflation impact of tariffs. Jocelyn Paquet (National Bank) also sees softer trade rhetoric supporting a hold for now.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"Could cuts come later if not in April?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Yes. Jocelyn Paquet (National Bank) expects weaker data to push the Bank toward cuts as early as June if conditions deteriorate.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"What is the current policy rate being discussed?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"The debate centres on holding the overnight rate at 2.75% or cutting it by 25 basis points at the April 16 announcement.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"How do tariffs factor into predictions?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Those expecting cuts cite growth risks from tariffs and uncertainty. Those expecting a hold point to signs of de-escalation and unclear net effects on inflation versus growth.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    },<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"@type\": \"Question\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"name\": \"What stance might the Bank take if it holds?\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      \"acceptedAnswer\": {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"@type\": \"Answer\",<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->        \"text\": \"Shawn Woof (Sotheby\u2019s International Realty Canada) expects a wait-and-see approach, with the Bank seeking more data before further moves.\"<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->      }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->    }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->  ]<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->[\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.18.0&#8243; 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I can unsubscribe at any time.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wahi asked real estate industry professionals \u2014 including economists, academics, and REALTORS\u00ae \u2014 about their predictions for the Bank of Canada\u2019s next rate announcement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":308815,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"2880","footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"dipi_cpt_category":[],"class_list":["post-308814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-buy-and-sell"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/308814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=308814"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/308814\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":311867,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/308814\/revisions\/311867"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/308815"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=308814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=308814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=308814"},{"taxonomy":"dipi_cpt_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/dipi_cpt_category?post=308814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}