{"id":307377,"date":"2025-02-04T21:49:02","date_gmt":"2025-02-04T21:49:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/?p=307377"},"modified":"2025-03-03T14:34:22","modified_gmt":"2025-03-03T14:34:22","slug":"what-do-u-s-tariffs-mean-for-the-canadian-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/learning-centre\/real-estate-101\/buy\/us-tariffs-canadian-housing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"What Do U.S. Tariffs Mean for the Canadian Housing Market?"},"content":{"rendered":"

[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||3px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” width=”95%” max_width=”100%” custom_margin=”||-24px||false|false” custom_margin_tablet=”||-24px||false|false” custom_margin_phone=”||-34px||false|false” custom_margin_last_edited=”on|phone” custom_padding=”55px||||false|false” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][wahi_breadcrumb _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin_tablet=”” custom_margin_phone=”30px||-10px||false|false” custom_margin_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”][wahi_breadcrumb-link title=”Real Estate 101″ 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_module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||3px|1px||” custom_padding_tablet=”0px||3px|1px||” custom_padding_phone=”0px||0px|0px|false|false” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”twitter” url=”https:\/\/twitter.com\/wahi_inc” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]twitter[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”linkedin” url=”https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/wahi-inc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]linkedin[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”instagram” url=”https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/wahi.inc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]instagram[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][et_pb_social_media_follow_network social_network=”facebook” url=”https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/wahiinc\/” icon_color=”#BC4E40″ _builder_version=”4.20.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” background_enable_color=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” follow_button=”off” url_new_window=”on”]facebook[\/et_pb_social_media_follow_network][\/et_pb_social_media_follow][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”15px||0px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.3em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” custom_padding=”||0px|||” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|desktop” header_2_font_size_tablet=”36px” header_2_font_size_phone=”25px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

If the U.S. goes forward with unprecedented tariffs on Canadian goods, fewer homes will get built, and they\u2019ll be less affordable, those who specialize in the real estate<\/a> sector say.<\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.3em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” custom_margin=”||11px|||” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”36px” header_2_font_size_phone=”25px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

By Josh Sherman<\/a>\u00a0<\/span>| 4 minute read<\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_post_title title=”off” author=”off” date_format=”M j” categories=”off” comments=”off” featured_image=”off” _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”||26px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_post_title][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||3px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” width_tablet=”” width_phone=”100%” width_last_edited=”on|desktop” custom_padding=”0px||9px|||” global_colors_info=”{}” width__hover_enabled=”off|desktop”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/The-impact-on-U.S.-tariffs-on-Canadas-housing-market.jpg” alt=”The number of homes on the market continues to climb in major Canadian cities giving some buyers a shot at a discount.” title_text=”The-impact-on-U.S.-tariffs-on-Canada’s-housing-market” align=”center” force_fullwidth=”on” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”1px||29px|||” border_radii=”on|32px|32px|32px|32px” border_radii_tablet=”on|32px|32px|32px|32px” border_radii_phone=”on|0px|0px|0px|0px” border_radii_last_edited=”on|desktop” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”1.13rem” text_line_height=”1.75rem” custom_margin=”-18px||2px|||” custom_padding=”||7px||false|true” custom_padding_tablet=”||7px||false|true” custom_padding_phone=”|15px|7px|15px|false|true” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|phone” text_font_size_tablet=”1.13rem” text_font_size_phone=”0.9rem” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

The U.S. plan to levy widespread tariffs on Canadian goods has homebuilders raising the alarm about the implications for the housing market. <\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” min_height=”791.1px” custom_padding=”32px||23px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”0px||0px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.3em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” min_height=”765.1px” custom_margin=”||-48px|||” custom_padding=”6px||68px|||” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”36px” header_2_font_size_phone=”25px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

If U.S. President Donald Trump moves forward with plans to slap heavy tariffs on Canadian goods, the country\u2019s housing crisis will only intensify, market-watchers are warning. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>\u201cIt would be significantly impactful for the economy in and of itself in terms of our economic growth and things like our labour market,\u201d says Bryan Yu, chief economist at Central 1. \u201cWe\u2019re likely to see higher unemployment rates, and that\u2019s of course going to be bad for the economy \u2014 and for the housing market as well,\u201d he tells Wahi.\u00a0<\/p>\n

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The Trump administration had earlier touted that as of early February duties of 25% would be applied to most Canadian exports, with energy resources facing a lesser 10% rate. Those plans have now been put on the backburner for at least 30 days, with negotiations ongoing after the two countries reached an agreement just before the clock struck midnight on Feb. 3. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>Should the tariffs ultimately come into effect, they won\u2019t just sideline homebuyers through unemployment and potentially higher living costs. They\u2019ll also drive up building costs and, consequently, fewer new homes being built at a time when the country is already grappling with a supply shortage, suggests a spokesperson for the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD). <\/span>
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<\/span>\u201cWhere we head to, nobody knows, but assuming that we get to the end of 30 days and there is no resolution, I think the first significant concern for the Canadian homebuilding industry is the impact on the Canadian economy and consumer confidence,\u201d says Justin Sherwood senior vice president of communications, research, and stakeholder relations at BILD, which represents homebuilders across the Greater Toronto<\/a> Area. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>\u201cIn particular, if we\u2019re seeing a slowdown in the Canadian economy due to fewer exports to the US because of tariffs, the obvious concern is a reduction of sales, residential real estate investment, starts, and supply,\u201d Sherwood tells Wahi.<\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”32px||23px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”1px||0px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_divider show_divider=”off” _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” height=”30px” custom_margin=”||-6px|||” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}”][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ admin_label=”Section” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”#f0faf4″ custom_margin=”0px||0px||false|false” custom_padding=”0px||0px||false|false” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” locked=”off” collapsed=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” global_module=”307775″ theme_builder_area=”post_content” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row column_structure=”1_2,1_2″ make_equal=”on” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”||0px||false|false” custom_padding=”||0px||false|false” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_divider color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Frame-7488.png” alt=”Wahi Cashback – Listings” title_text=”Wahi Cashback – Listings” url=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/buy\/wahi-price” disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”||||false|false” custom_padding_tablet=”|||35px|false|false” custom_padding_phone=”|||0px|false|false” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|phone” custom_css_main_element=”margin: auto;” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_text content_tablet=”<\/p>\n

The Smarter Way to Buy & Sell<\/h2>\n

” content_phone=”<\/p>\n

The Smarter Way to Buy & Sell<\/h2>\n

” content_last_edited=”on|phone” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” header_2_font=”Poppins||||||||” header_2_text_color=”#38505b” header_2_font_size=”28px” header_2_line_height=”40px” header_3_font_size=”1.53rem” max_width_tablet=”” max_width_phone=”85%” max_width_last_edited=”on|phone” module_alignment=”center” custom_margin=”||10px||false|false” custom_padding=”||||false|false” header_line_height_tablet=”” header_line_height_phone=”” header_line_height_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”1.53rem” header_2_font_size_phone=”1.4rem” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_line_height_tablet=”3.75rem” header_2_line_height_phone=”2.5rem” header_2_line_height_last_edited=”on|desktop” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n

The Smarter Way to Buy & Sell<\/h2>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider divider_weight=”3px” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” width=”100px” module_alignment=”left” height=”11px” custom_margin=”||14px||false|false” module_alignment_tablet=”left” module_alignment_phone=”center” module_alignment_last_edited=”on|phone” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text content_tablet=”<\/p>\n

A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback – an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/p>\n

” content_phone=”<\/p>\n

A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback – an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/p>\n

” content_last_edited=”on|phone” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” text_text_color=”#000000″ text_font_size=”18px” text_line_height=”24px” custom_margin=”||0px||false|false” custom_padding=”||||false|false” custom_padding_tablet=”|90px|24px|0px|false|false” custom_padding_phone=”|10px|2px|10px|false|true” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|desktop” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n

A smart move starts with Wahi. Expert Realtors with unique data-driven insights and up to 1.5% cashback – an average of $15k* after closing on your new home\u2014it all adds up.<\/span><\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/wahi.com\/ca\/en\/buy-sell-with-wahi” button_text=”LEARN MORE” button_alignment=”left” button_alignment_tablet=”left” button_alignment_phone=”center” button_alignment_last_edited=”on|desktop” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”13px” button_letter_spacing=”1px” button_use_icon=”off” custom_margin=”30px||||false|false” custom_padding=”||||false|false” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_button][et_pb_divider color=”RGBA(255,255,255,0)” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”29px||0px|||” da_disable_devices=”off|off|off” global_colors_info=”{}” da_is_popup=”off” da_exit_intent=”off” da_has_close=”on” da_alt_close=”off” da_dark_close=”off” da_not_modal=”on” da_is_singular=”off” da_with_loader=”off” da_has_shadow=”on”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”||4px|||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.18.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” text_font_size=”21px” text_line_height=”1.6em” header_2_font=”||||||||” header_2_font_size=”36px” header_2_line_height=”1.6em” header_3_font_size=”1.25rem” header_3_line_height=”1.88rem” header_4_font=”|700|||||||” header_4_font_size=”1.25rem” header_4_line_height=”1.88rem” text_font_size_tablet=”21px” text_font_size_phone=”16px” text_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_2_font_size_tablet=”29px” header_2_font_size_phone=”19px” header_2_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n

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Another big concern is how Canada responds to the tariffs. The <\/span>federal government has already pledged<\/span><\/a> to respond with its own tariffs on imports from the U.S. Sherwood suggests this would make it more expensive to construct homes since Canadian homebuilders rely on a variety of materials from the states, including appliances and glass. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>\u201cCountervailing duties and tariffs, which presumably Canada would put in place from a retaliatory perspective\u2026 if those are applied broadly to construction goods, that\u2019s going to increase the cost of construction further eroding affordability,\u201d Sherwood says.<\/span>
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<\/span>Such a response would represent yet another knock to the economy overall. \u201cWe did say we\u2019re going to retaliate, and that\u2019s going to deepen any weakness in the economy,\u201d says Yu. He expects the overall \u201cnegative economic shock\u201d of a trade war would spur the Bank of Canada to trim the overnight rate to 1.5% \u2014 down from its current 3% level \u2014 in a bid to stimulate spending. But any benefits to mortgage borrowers from lower rates would be overridden by slow economic growth and higher unemployment. \u201cThe dominating overriding factor would still be that the economy would be quite weak at that point as well,\u201d he explains.<\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>On a positive note, the Central 1 economist notes that Canada does have an abundance of certain building materials. \u201cWe are a little bit fortunate, I think, that when you talk about concrete, you think about lumber, we tend to have a lot of that domestically \u2014 so that\u2019s positive,\u201d he tells Wahi.<\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>But for items Canada does rely importanting, there\u2019s no telling how long it would take the building industry to adjust \u2014 or whether comparable materials could be sourced from elsewhere. <\/span>
<\/span>
<\/span>\u201cAs you descend into [tariffs on] steel and aluminum and glass you start to increase the cost of building in an environment where we\u2019re already struggling with the cost to build at a rate that the market can absorb,\u201d Sherwood adds.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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A day prior to the announced delay in the U.S. tariff regime, the Residential Construction Council of Ontario<\/a> warned that having to seek out new suppliers would cause a major \u2014 and costly \u2014 disruption for homebuilding activity. “Builders in Canada will likely look to alternative sources, such as domestic Canadian producers or suppliers from other countries, but the disruption \u2014 along with increased costs \u2014 could lead to delayed or canceled projects or slowdowns in new home construction as supply chains adjust,” said RESCON president Richard Lyall in a Feb. 2 statement. “Such a scenario could exacerbate existing housing shortages and drive-up prices.”<\/p>\n

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<\/em><\/p>\n

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Wahi Writer<\/p>\n

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